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Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 3
Full Time
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
Prediction Odds Confidence
Draw 1.30
77.00%
Atletico Paranaense:
W L D L L
Vasco DA Gama:
L L W W W

Prediction Result: LOST

Final Score 1 : 3
Tip Given Draw
Outcome LOST

The match finished 1-3. The draw prediction did not land.

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Preview

Atletico Paranaense face Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.

Atletico Paranaense are 5th with 54 points from 34 games, while Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41. That leaves Atletico Paranaense 13 points ahead.

At home this season Atletico Paranaense average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Vasco DA Gama average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded. Atletico Paranaense have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times; Vasco DA Gama have 4 clean sheets and 10 blanks.

Atletico Paranaense have scored 5 and conceded 6 in their last 4 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Vasco DA Gama have scored 5 and conceded 6 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Atletico Paranaense come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Vasco DA Gama have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the same window. Atletico Paranaense currently sit 5th on 54 points, with Vasco DA Gama placed 13th on 41 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.

Key Match Factors

  • Vasco DA Gama have the better recent form (9 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Atletico Paranaense have scored 51 goals this season compared with 43 for Vasco DA Gama.
  • Defensively, Atletico Paranaense have conceded 43 and Vasco DA Gama have conceded 50.
  • League positions: Atletico Paranaense 5th, Vasco DA Gama 13th.
  • Atletico Paranaense have won 9 of 17 home matches in this competition.
  • Vasco DA Gama have won 3 of 16 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Draw

  • Atletico Paranaense at home: 9 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
  • Vasco DA Gama away from home: 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats from 16 games.
  • Atletico Paranaense have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.
  • Vasco DA Gama have taken 6 points from their last 4 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 1, Vasco DA Gama have won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.

Date Home Score Away
May 10, 2026 Vasco DA Gama 1 : 0 Atletico Paranaense
Sep 12, 2024 Atletico Paranaense 2 : 1 Vasco DA Gama
Aug 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2 : 1 Atletico Paranaense
Aug 27, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2 : 1 Atletico Paranaense

Season Statistics

Atletico Paranaense Vasco DA Gama
Form
W D W L D L L
W W D L W L W
Played 34 33
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals for (avg) 1.5 1.3
Goals against (avg) 1.3 1.5
Clean sheets 8 4
Failed to score 8 10
Biggest win streak 4 3

Last Matches (Atletico Paranaense)

30 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Gremio
2 0
Atletico Paranaense
24 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Vitoria
1 1
Atletico Paranaense
17 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Atletico Paranaense
0 2
Palmeiras
12 October 2026 • Serie A
W
Chapecoense-sc
1 4
Atletico Paranaense

Last Matches (Vasco DA Gama)

14 November 2026 • Serie A
W
Chapecoense-sc
0 2
Vasco DA Gama
8 November 2026 • Copa Do Brasil
W
Vasco DA Gama
2 1
Palmeiras
1 November 2026 • Copa Do Brasil
L
Palmeiras
1 0
Vasco DA Gama
29 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Vasco DA Gama
1 4
Flamengo

Related Predictions

More Draw predictions

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.

When is Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena da Baixada.

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama?

In the last 4 meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 1, Vasco DA Gama have won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama. Our Draw tip lost.

Discussion & Tips

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Standings & Stats — Serie A

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