Bahia vs Sao Paulo
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: LOST
The match finished 3-2. The X2 (away or draw) prediction did not land.
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Preview
Bahia face Sao Paulo in the Serie A on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.
Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games, while Sao Paulo are 10th with 44. That leaves Bahia 9 points ahead.
At home this season Bahia average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Sao Paulo average 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Bahia have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times; Sao Paulo have 8 clean sheets and 8 blanks.
Bahia have scored 4 and conceded 7 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Sao Paulo have scored 4 and conceded 2 in their last 4 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.
Match Analysis
Bahia come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Bahia currently sit 6th on 53 points, with Sao Paulo placed 10th on 44 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Combining the away win and the draw, the X2 selection covers the two most likely outcomes for Sao Paulo. The Double Chance selection (X2) is assigned a 89% probability at odds of 1.12.
Key Match Factors
- Sao Paulo have the better recent form (8 pts vs 7 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Bahia have scored 50 goals this season compared with 39 for Sao Paulo.
- Defensively, Bahia have conceded 45 and Sao Paulo have conceded 39.
- League positions: Bahia 6th, Sao Paulo 10th.
- Bahia have won 8 of 17 home matches in this competition.
- Sao Paulo have won 2 of 17 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip X2
- Bahia at home: 8 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
- Sao Paulo away from home: 2 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats from 17 games.
- Bahia have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.
- Sao Paulo have taken 8 points from their last 4 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 1, Sao Paulo have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2026 | Sao Paulo | 2 : 2 | Bahia |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sao Paulo | 2 : 0 | Bahia |
| May 31, 2025 | Bahia | 2 : 1 | Sao Paulo |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Bahia | 0 : 3 | Sao Paulo |
Season Statistics
| Bahia | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
W
L
D
W
L
|
L
L
W
W
D
L
D
|
| Played | 34 | 34 |
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| Wins | 14 | 12 |
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| Draws | 11 | 8 |
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| Losses | 9 | 14 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 1.1 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.1 |
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| Clean sheets | 9 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 8 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 4 |
Last Matches (Bahia)
Cruzeiro
Santos
Bahia
Bahia
Last Matches (Sao Paulo)
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Related Predictions
Bahia vs Sao Paulo FAQs
What is the Bahia vs Sao Paulo prediction?
Our tip is X2 (Double Chance), with a probability of 89% at odds of 1.12.
When is Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena Fonte Nova.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Sao Paulo?
In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 1, Sao Paulo have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Bahia 3-2 Sao Paulo. Our X2 tip lost.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Serie A
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