Coritiba vs Gremio
Coritiba vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 0-1, producing 1 total goals. The Under 2.5 prediction therefore landed successfully.
Coritiba vs Gremio Preview
Coritiba face Gremio in the Serie A on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC at Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba.
Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from 34 games, while Gremio are 18th with 37. That leaves Coritiba 5 points ahead.
At home this season Coritiba average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; on the road Gremio average 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded. Coritiba have kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 12 times; Gremio have 8 clean sheets and 10 blanks.
Coritiba have scored 3 and conceded 3 in their last 4 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Gremio have scored 6 and conceded 4 in their last 4 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.
Match Analysis
Coritiba come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Gremio have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same window. Coritiba currently sit 12th on 42 points, with Gremio placed 18th on 37 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 76% probability at odds of 1.32.
Key Match Factors
- Gremio have the better recent form (10 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Coritiba have scored 40 goals this season compared with 38 for Gremio.
- Defensively, Coritiba have conceded 51 and Gremio have conceded 47.
- League positions: Coritiba 12th, Gremio 18th.
- Coritiba have won 6 of 17 home matches in this competition.
- Gremio have won 1 of 17 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Under 2.5
- Coritiba matches average 2.7 total goals this season and Gremio matches 2.5.
- 0 of Coritiba's last 4 matches went over 2.5 goals.
- 1 of Gremio's last 4 matches went over 2.5 goals.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Coritiba have won 0, Gremio have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 26 April 2026, finished Gremio 1-0 Coritiba.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gremio | 1 : 0 | Coritiba |
| Nov 01, 2023 | Coritiba | 1 : 2 | Gremio |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Gremio | 5 : 1 | Coritiba |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Coritiba | 1 : 1 | Gremio |
Season Statistics
| Coritiba | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
D
L
L
W
L
|
D
D
D
L
W
W
L
|
| Played | 34 | 34 |
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| Wins | 11 | 9 |
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| Draws | 9 | 10 |
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| Losses | 14 | 15 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.2 | 1.1 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.5 | 1.4 |
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| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 12 | 10 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 2 |
Last Matches (Coritiba)
Internacional
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Last Matches (Gremio)
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Gremio
Gremio
Related Predictions
Coritiba vs Gremio FAQs
What is the Coritiba vs Gremio prediction?
Our tip is Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 76% at odds of 1.32.
When is Coritiba vs Gremio?
Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC, in the Serie A, at Estádio Couto Pereira.
What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Gremio?
In the last 4 meetings, Coritiba have won 0, Gremio have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 26 April 2026, finished Gremio 1-0 Coritiba.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Gremio?
Coritiba 0-1 Gremio. Our Under 2.5 tip won.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Serie A
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