Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo

Danubio face Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC at Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo.

Danubio are 16th with 32 points from 35 games, while Liverpool Montevideo are 6th with 59. That leaves Liverpool Montevideo 27 points ahead.

At home this season Danubio average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Liverpool Montevideo average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded. Danubio have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 15 times; Liverpool Montevideo have 17 clean sheets and 8 blanks.

Danubio have scored 6 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Liverpool Montevideo have scored 6 and conceded 1 in their last 4 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Danubio come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Liverpool Montevideo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the same window. Danubio currently sit 16th on 32 points, with Liverpool Montevideo placed 6th on 59 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 8 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 1.6 goals, which supports the Under 3.5 line. The Under 3.5 Goals selection (Under 3.5) is assigned a 81.97% probability at odds of 1.22.

• Liverpool Montevideo have the better recent form (13 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Danubio have scored 29 goals this season compared with 47 for Liverpool Montevideo.
• Defensively, Danubio have conceded 45 and Liverpool Montevideo have conceded 31.
• League positions: Danubio 16th, Liverpool Montevideo 6th.
• The last 5 H2H meetings average 1.6 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 3.5.

• Danubio matches average 2.1 total goals this season and Liverpool Montevideo matches 2.2.
• 0 of Danubio's last 4 matches went over 3.5 goals.
• 0 of Liverpool Montevideo's last 4 matches went over 3.5 goals.
• The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals.

In the last 5 meetings, Danubio have won 2, Liverpool Montevideo have won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Liverpool Montevideo 3-0 Danubio.