Gremio vs Bahia
Gremio vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Gremio vs Bahia Preview
Gremio face Bahia in the Serie A on Thursday 19 November 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.
Gremio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games, while Bahia are 6th with 53. That leaves Bahia 16 points ahead.
At home this season Gremio average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; on the road Bahia average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Gremio have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times; Bahia have 9 clean sheets and 5 blanks.
Gremio have scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Bahia have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
Gremio come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Gremio currently sit 18th on 37 points, with Bahia placed 6th on 53 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.
Key Match Factors
- Gremio have the better recent form (10 pts vs 7 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Gremio have scored 38 goals this season compared with 50 for Bahia.
- Defensively, Gremio have conceded 47 and Bahia have conceded 45.
- League positions: Gremio 18th, Bahia 6th.
- Gremio have won 8 of 17 home matches in this competition.
- Bahia have won 6 of 17 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Draw
- Gremio at home: 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 17 games.
- Bahia away from home: 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats from 17 games.
- Gremio have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches.
- Bahia have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Gremio have won 1, Bahia have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Bahia 1-1 Gremio.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Bahia | 1 : 1 | Gremio |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Bahia | 4 : 0 | Gremio |
| May 25, 2025 | Gremio | 1 : 0 | Bahia |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gremio | 0 : 2 | Bahia |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Bahia | 1 : 0 | Gremio |
Season Statistics
| Gremio | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
D
D
D
L
W
W
L
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L
L
W
L
D
W
L
|
| Played | 34 | 34 |
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| Wins | 9 | 14 |
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| Draws | 10 | 11 |
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| Losses | 15 | 9 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.1 | 1.5 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.3 |
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| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 10 | 5 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 4 |
Last Matches (Gremio)
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Gremio
Gremio
Coritiba
Last Matches (Bahia)
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Bahia
Related Predictions
Gremio vs Bahia FAQs
What is the Gremio vs Bahia prediction?
Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.
When is Gremio vs Bahia?
Thursday 19 November 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena do Grêmio.
What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Bahia?
In the last 5 meetings, Gremio have won 1, Bahia have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Bahia 1-1 Gremio.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Serie A
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