Iceland vs Luxembourg

Iceland face Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 6) on Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC at Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik.

Iceland are 1st with 11 points from 5 games, while Luxembourg are 4th with 3. That leaves Iceland 8 points ahead.

At home this season Iceland average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road Luxembourg average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Iceland have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Luxembourg have 0 clean sheets and 4 blanks.

Iceland have scored 12 and conceded 1 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Luxembourg have scored 2 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Iceland come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, while Luxembourg have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the same window. Iceland currently sit 1st on 11 points, with Luxembourg placed 4th on 3 points. Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, 9 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 82.64% probability at odds of 1.21.

• Iceland have the better recent form (11 pts vs 3 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Iceland have scored 12 goals this season compared with 2 for Luxembourg.
• Defensively, Iceland have conceded 1 and Luxembourg have conceded 8.
• League positions: Iceland 1st, Luxembourg 4th.
• Iceland have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Luxembourg have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Iceland matches average 2.6 total goals this season and Luxembourg matches 2.0.
• 4 of Iceland's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• 3 of Luxembourg's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

In the last 3 meetings, Iceland have won 1, Luxembourg have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 September 2026, finished Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland.