Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 4-1, producing 5 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction therefore landed successfully.
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Preview
Real Madrid face RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Wednesday 21 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid.
Real Madrid are 2nd with 12 points from 4 games, while RB Leipzig are 30th with 3. That leaves Real Madrid 9 points ahead.
At home this season Real Madrid average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road RB Leipzig average 1.0 scored and 4.0 conceded. Real Madrid have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 0 times; RB Leipzig have 1 clean sheet and 0 blanks.
Real Madrid have scored 11 and conceded 3 in their last 4 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. RB Leipzig have scored 15 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
Real Madrid come into this fixture with a recent record of 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, while RB Leipzig have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Real Madrid currently sit 2nd on 12 points, with RB Leipzig placed 30th on 3 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 83% probability at odds of 1.2.
Key Match Factors
- Real Madrid have the better recent form (15 pts vs 12 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Real Madrid have scored 13 goals this season compared with 5 for RB Leipzig.
- Defensively, Real Madrid have conceded 7 and RB Leipzig have conceded 11.
- League positions: Real Madrid 2nd, RB Leipzig 30th.
- Real Madrid have won 2 of 2 home matches in this competition.
- RB Leipzig have won 0 of 2 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Over 1.5
- Real Madrid matches average 5.1 total goals this season and RB Leipzig matches 4.1.
- 4 of Real Madrid's last 4 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- 5 of RB Leipzig's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Real Madrid have won 2, RB Leipzig have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 6 March 2024, finished Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 06, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1 : 1 | RB Leipzig |
| Feb 13, 2024 | RB Leipzig | 0 : 1 | Real Madrid |
| Oct 25, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 3 : 2 | Real Madrid |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Real Madrid | 2 : 0 | RB Leipzig |
Season Statistics
| Real Madrid | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
W
W
W
W
|
L
W
L
L
|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
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| Wins | 4 | 1 |
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| Draws | 0 | 0 |
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| Losses | 0 | 3 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 3.3 | 1.3 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.8 | 2.8 |
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| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 1 |
Last Matches (Real Madrid)
Valencia
AEK Athens FC
Racing Santander
Barcelona
Last Matches (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
FC Schalke 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
RB Leipzig
Related Predictions
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig FAQs
What is the Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction?
Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 83% at odds of 1.2.
When is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Wednesday 21 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in the UEFA Champions League, at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig?
In the last 4 meetings, Real Madrid have won 2, RB Leipzig have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 6 March 2024, finished Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig. Our Over 1.5 tip won.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — UEFA Champions League
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